AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

Today's MARKET STATE for AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR: **NEUTRAL DIGESTION**

- The MKT is in a sideways digestive position with a slight positive bias.
- On the SELL side avoid DP BREAKOUT strategies but rather FADE a positive reaction against the DIR after a negative breakdown signal. UP and UT1 REVERSAL strategies are recommended over FADE strategies as "sloppy" trading conditions are expected. Any UP FADE trades should get confirmation first.
- On the BUY side UP BREAKOUT strategies are valid but should expect a laborious trade. Work any position, selling into emotional surges and re-entering on any sharp pullbacks. Expect a choppy trade and be aggressive on minimizing profit give-back. DP and DT1 FADE and REVERSAL strategies are recommended.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for DA

Wrap Up
- With an MC Value of +1 and the R Level at the DP, there is a slight positive bias to the trading session today in the DA.  However, the positive bias was quickly negated by the penetration of the R Level in the overnight session.  The initial SELL DP BREAKOUT signal should be avoided as the market could have been producing a false breakout.  With that being said, the market rallied back to the R Level, where it held resistance.  The markets inability to trade above the R Level serves as confirmation of the shift in sentiment, and the SELL DP BREAKOUT strategy could be executed after the market failed from the R Level around 1:30 A.M.  Failure from this important Price Map level sets the tone for the remainder of the trading session. The market sold off quickly to the DT1, churned around that level for a bit, then continued lower around 8:30 A.M.  Although this trade required patience on the part of the trader, the market eventually traded down to our price target, DT2, and proved to be a profitable trade.

DJI FUTURES INDEX

Today's MARKET STATE for DJI FUTURES INDEX: **BULL TREND**

- Technically the MKT is in a positive posture and as long as it continues to hold structure, further gains should be expected.  If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, look for excuses to get long.
- On the SELL side UP FADE strategies are valid but profit targets and risk management should be tight.  REVERSAL strategies should be applied only at the UP and +c after an exhaustive signal. Use DP BREAKOUT strategies as a signal to FADE a positive reaction against the DIR. Only until the MKT breaks the positive structure are sell signals an opportunity.
- On the BUY side BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL are recommended as the MKT is bid and all buy signals are valid opportunity. If stopped out at or near the low tic of a reaction and the MKT is not following through to the downside, look to re-enter using the recent squeeze low as a stop. If the MKT breaks structure, de-leverage and be more selective as the likelihood of a sideways trade is high.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for DF

Wrap Up
- The DJI FUTURES INDEX was in a "Bull Trend" state and our expectation is for further gains throughout the day, provided positive structure remains in tact.  The market moved sideways for most of the early session and eventually tested support at the DIR around 9 A.M.  The third test right before 9:30 A.M. failed to make a lower low, providing traders with an opportunity to execute a BUY DIR FADE strategy.  From here, the market took off, tested the UP twice, and then eventually moved higher through that level, maintaining positive structure throughout the entire move.  The minor level above the UP held support and positive structure around 1 P.M. when the market had a brief pullback, and our trade target was eventually achieved at the UT 1 just after 1:30 P.M.

CANADIAN DOLLAR

Today's MARKET STATE for CD: **NEUTRAL DIGESTION**
- Technically the MKT is "on the fence" with the potential to go in either direction or nowhere. Pick your points and have no expectations, as the likelihood of this MKT trading sideways is high.
- On the SELL side BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies are valid, however profit and position risk management should be aggressive and anticipated. The pivotal nature of the session does have the potential to be the starting point for a new move. However, the probability of any trend action is more likely to just be the MKT defining its new consolidation extreme.
- On the BUY side BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies are valid, however profit and position risk management should be aggressive and anticipated. The MKT is "on the fence" and does have the potential to be the beginning of a new trend move. The probability of a new trend move is low. However, any price trend action is more likely to just be the MKT defining its new consolidation extremes.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for CD

Wrap Up
- Today in the CANADIAN DOLLAR we are reminded of the important role that the Critical Range plays in the JS Price Map.  In a NEUTRAL DIGESTIVE state, our expectation is for the price action to oscillate within the critical range, and the likelihood of a new trend emerging is low.  With the R at the minor level below the DP, the analyst is telling the trader that price action is expected to stay within the Critical Range; however, there is a chance that a sell off could reach as far down as the minor level (R Level).  In a sense, the analyst is expanding the Critical Range down to the R Level.  The market fell in the early morning session, touched the DP at 3 A.M. and provided us an opportunity for a BUY DP FADE above the R Level.  Remember, our expectation in a NEUTRAL DIGESTIVE state is for a sideways trading environment within the Critical Range.  Sure enough, the market rallied steadily throughout the day, building positive structure and respecting the trading range.  Shortly after 11 A.M. the rally stalled out at the UP, exactly where we expected it to, and gave us an opportunity to realize profits.

10YR TREASURY NOTES

Today's MARKET STATE for TY: **BEAR TREND**

- Technically the MKT is vulnerable to the offer. On the SELL side accept all BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL signals. The MKT is on edge and any negative signal, especially below the previous session high, is an opportunity. Anticipate a price "zone" around a major resistance point to FADE. Have a plan and be ready. If your stop gets hit and the MKT does not immediately follow through, consider re-entering, even doubling up if there is structure to define low risk.

- On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major support levels but preferably after an emotional sell off. This is an aggressive strategy and any profits should be realized at the previous support failure points. Avoid DP FADE BUYS even with confirmation, as this is more likely a plateau for a BREAKOUT SELL strategy. UP BREAKOUT strategies are not recommended but do have a better chance of succeeding than a DP FADE.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for TY

 

Wrap Up
- Today was a great day for traders using the JS Price Map in the 10YR TREASURY NOTES market.  With an MC Value of -5 and a BEAR TREND Market State, the trader is looking to accept ALL SELL strategies (BREAKOUT, FADE AND REVERSAL) below the R Level.  Since the market started the day just below the DIR, the test of the DIR around 5 A.M. gave us an opportunity to execute a SELL DIR FADE.  A second opportunity was presented when the market made another attempt at the DIR just after 6 A.M., failed to achieve this level, and then sold off dramatically.  The market continued to sell off until it found support at the minor level 133'075.  From here we saw a sharp reaction back to the DP, and a failure from this level, which could have been a good place to add leverage to the short position as negative structure remained in tact, and price failed to hold above the DP just before 8 A.M.  The price then had another dramatic sell off and achieved our downside target of the DT1 where profits should have been taken.

SWISS FRANC

Today's MARKET STATE for SF: **NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME**

- The MKT is on the offer and pressing into the lower extreme. On the SELL side accept UP REVERSAL strategies over FADES, expecting more of a trendless trading environment rather than a new negative trend move. Avoid DP BREAKOUT strategies but rather FADE into a positive reaction after a negative breakdown signal against the DIR. The MKT is extended and will have trouble sustaining any new weakness. Use aggressive position management and anticipate potential early exit points to reduce profit give-back.

- On the BUY side DP FADE and REVERSAL strategies are qualified, however the FADE is a lower probability and should use tight risk criteria. DP and DT1 REVERSALS can risk more but should also go for more profit with the expectation of the MKT putting in a short term turning point signal. UP BREAKOUT strategies are aggressive and should just "go" and not look back. Risk less; use aggressive position management and conservative profit limits.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for SF

Wrap Up
- The SWISS FRANC has produced a NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME Market State with an MC Value of -3, telling the trader that the market is pressing into the lower extremes.  The R Level at the UP represents the "Breaking Point" for the negative bias for the day.  The market churned around the DIR in the early morning session, then began to rally just after 3 AM.  The market continued to maintain POSITIVE STRUCTURE (higher lows and higher highs) through the morning session and presented a BUY UP BREAKOUT trade around 6 AM.  The R Level at the UP adds confirmation to this trade because it has not only been creating positive structure throughout the morning, but the BREAKOUT from the UP also negates the negative bias that was represented by the "breaking point" at the R.  From here, our Market State expectation is for the trade to "just go" and the trader should exercise "conservative profit limits".  Given the state of the market, the UT1 is a solid expectation for profit taking, and this target was achieved at 9 AM.

CANADIAN DOLLAR

Today's MARKET STATE for CD: **NEUTRAL POSITIVE SHIFT**

- The MKT is in neutral, working a slight positive bias against a negative underlying trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT. However, the threat of the return of the negative momentum must be respected.

- On the SELL side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the negative momentum is going to resume. DP SELL BREAKOUT strategies can risk a little more of current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a negative posture.

- On the BUY side DP FADE strategies are valid, however the underlying momentum remains negative and any long opportunity is short term. DP BUY REVERSAL strategies should be avoided, as any break in momentum is a sign that the BEAR TREND is ready to resume. UP BUY BREAKOUT strategies are aggressive and the better opportunity is a DIR FADE after a positive breakout signal.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for CD

Wrap Up
- A MC Value of +2 and an R at the DT1 set the stage for the positive Sentiment Bias for today's action in the CANADIAN DOLLAR.  The Market State warns of a possible decline; however, by placing the R Level at the DT1 the analyst is telling the trader that above that level, the expectation is for a move higher.  There was an emotional sell off just after 7 AM that brought prices down below the R for a brief moment.  Prices then rallied sharply back to the minor level, where they digested for about an hour.  The opportunity existed for what would have been a BUY R REVERSAL strategy.  Although price action only penetrated through the R for a brief moment before rallying, the penetration and rally back through this level presented the trader an opportunity to go long, which eventually proved to be a very profitable trade.  The market rallied above the minor level, found support at this level around 8:30 AM, and then began another sharp rally.  This rally took prices all the way up to the DIR at 10 AM where profits should have been realize on a well executed trade.

NATURAL GAS

Today's MARKET STATE for NG: **NEUTRAL NEGATIVE SHIFT**

- Technically the MKT has produced a negative signal against a positive trend. On the SELL side avoid UP and DIR FADE strategies until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. Until then, a better opportunity will be a UP REVERSAL strategy. DP SELL BREAKOUT strategies can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at support targets. The trade is corrective and the underlying positive tone must be respected.
- On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. DP REVERSAL strategies are recommended over FADE strategies, which should have at least 1, if not 2 challenges to the support integrity before executing a long off it. UP BREAKOUT strategies can risk a little more if current events confirm a positive posture. If not, a better approach would be to FADE the DIR after a UP breakout.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for NG

Wrap Up
- Today in NATURAL GAS we are reminded of the power of the JS Services Price Map.  The NEUTRAL NEGATIVE SHIFT Market State tells us that the market has produced a negative signal in an underlying positive market state.  With the R Level at the DIR, the analyst is telling the trader that above this level, our expectation is for the positive trend to resume.  Around 9:30 AM the market took off, crossing the UP and presenting the trader with a BUY UP BREAKOUT strategy.  Our ideal profit target is two major Price Map levels away from our entry point, in this case, the UT2.  The price rallied violently up to this level, and respected it with astonishing accuracy.  By utilizing the power of the JS Services strategy-based trading approach, a trader would have been able to participate in this sharp rally, and realize a substantial profit from it.