NIKKEI 225 INDEX Futures - RISING SUNSETS

Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND ACCELERATION position and is vulnerable to the offer. Any positive corrective action is expected to be short lived with only one upside "stop squeeze" if the negative momentum is going to play out. Any held strength and repeated probe higher is a sign that the trade will turn digestive. This does not take away from the negative bias but does limit the profit potential for any new sales in the session.


The 9500 Inflection Pivot is the high point for any positive squeeze. All trading below here keeps the contract on edge. A break under 9125 confirms fresh losses targeting 8875 on any new losses. A breach of 9375 signals a digestive trade up to 9500. Only above here is the negative sentiment removed.
On the SELL side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies below the previous sessions high point. BREAKOUT strategies should just "go", so do not risk much. FADE strategies are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold lower structure and any momentum shift should be considered a potential positive corrective turn.

On the BUY side avoid REVERSAL strategies off major support levels as these signals are more likely short squeeze rallies and opportunities to SELL into and FADE. BREAKOUT strategies above the previous session high are a long shot, so risk less and go for more. Any BUY FADE should have confirmation and are not recommended if the integrity of the previous session high is intact. After a break in the negative structure confirmed support levels can be used for short term reactions using aggressive position management.

Note: The MKT is in an aggressive sell posture. If the previous session high is intact its just a matter of time before the sellers try to overwhelm the MKT. Look for excuses to get short. If the previous session high is breached opportunity will be on both sides of the MKT, however the bias still rests with the Bears.

JS


* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv  .

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NIKKEI 225 - DECISION DAY

The NIKKEI 225 JUN’09 is pressing major directional resistance at the 9830 extreme above the 9710 Inflection Pivot posted on May 25, 2009.

If the recent run is going to fizzle and fall back into a digestive trade it will do so against the 9830 resistance. If it does reject, a turn back to the 9490 support is the immediate outlook, with the potential of sending the Index down to 9340 in the near term.

A held breach of 9830 and things start to get interesting with 10510 the initial target for the next leg higher.

Bottom line for today, the MKT is pressing the upper extreme and is either going to reject back into a neutral digestive posture or accelerate the current advance.

NIKKEI 225 - Rising Sun has a Cloud

The Nikkei 225 JUN'09 contract is poised for a challenge to major directional resistance whose reaction will point the way to the next 2-3 month move.

9710 is the Inflection Pivot to focus on.

If the Index is going to re-visit this years low area at 6960 the MKT will reject here. If we get a decisive rejection that will be the objective. A lackluster stagnant trade following a challenge to the 9710 area and we may be in for an early sideways summer trade with 8060 the digestive low.

A held violation of 9710 with a Daily close above 9830 will put the 11000 and 12180 targets in reach. Reactions should be expected.

JS