Saturday, May 15, 2010

SP500 Futures - TASTE TEST

Technical indicators shifted negated after Friday's sell off but the underlying technical structure remains positive above 1121.50. As long as the June'10 contract is above this price point the sentiment bias is to the upside. A breach of the 1143.50 resistance pivot will confirm this targeting 1197 on the next reaction higher.

Key off the 1132.50 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the sessions immediate tone. Use this as an "over under" number today. Above here the MKT will be leaning positive and below negative with 1143.50 and 1121.50 the neutral Critical Range extremes. Only a breach of either extreme will signal the next trend move.

Expectations are for any positive move to be more of a "railroad" trade with sellers "scaling in" feeding a one way trade with only minor reactions.

A break under 1121.50 is expected to be more emotional with sharp sell-offs followed by positive price squeezes. As long as the MKT is below 1121.50 the potential for a release will remain a threat.

The price points presented define the behavioral shifts in market sentiment. Use them as an overlay to your outlook.

Good Trading

JS

http://www.jsservices.com/