Technically the MKT has produced a positive signal into the upper extreme and will need to hold structure if it is going to avoid a drop back into a digestive trade. Key of the 1261.3 Inflection Pivot. This is the low point for any pull-back today if the underlying positive momentum is going to keep pace. If the MKT is going to make a fresh run in the session it is unlikely it will spend much time if any below 1268.0. If so it is more neutral than negative as only a break under 1261.30 signals a sentiment shift. 1281.4 is the upside hurdle for any new leg higher.
On the SELL side UP FADE signals are valid but REVERSALS are a better option. Use resting profit limits and tight stops. DIR and DP BREAKOUT strategies are aggressive but do have the potential to profit from a quick negative move out of the extreme. Use tight position management as any unrealized profits can be erased quickly.
On the BUY side accept DP FADE signals after confirmation. The MKT is extended and may search for stops before it resumes its Bull move. REVERSAL strategies are a better option. The sharper the break, the better for an entry with the expectations that the MKT is going to revisit the recent move high. BUY DIR and UP BREAKOUT strategies may need to be "worked" as the MKT is extended and has the potential to produce some starts and stops.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
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