Showing posts with label Trading Strategies: NEUTRAL TRANSITION. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading Strategies: NEUTRAL TRANSITION. Show all posts
Monday, November 1, 2010
Eurex BUND Futures - TURNING POINT
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and has produced a positive signal which should influence the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact it is less likely to do so with the MKT returning to a sideways trade. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
Key off the 12948 support and 12913 Inflection Pivot. If the MKT is going to rotate higher it will do so from either of these levels. A breach of 13018 confirms this outlook. A break under 12913 puts the contract back in a vulnerable position.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major resistance levels at or near the previous session high point. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this level on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use a BREAKOUT strategy below 1082.25 as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back after a confirm break in the momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a BUY REVERSAL opportunity.
On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high has been taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies above 1091 and 1098.50 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies off the 1082.25 Inflection Pivot are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. Expect MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com . You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
GOLD Z'10 Futures- LOST LUSTER
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an aggressive sell signal which should weigh on the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's low remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.
The 1349.6 Inflection Pivot holds the key to today's action. Below here the negative signal remains in play targeting 1307.3 and 1276.2 on any negative turn of events. A rise above 1349.6 is a sign of strength that has the contract flirtng with a play for higher move highs targeting 1375.6 and 1406.4.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the previous session low is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT after a resistance level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "negative" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major support levels at or near the previous session low point. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back after a confirm break in the negative momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. You should expect the MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com . You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Wednesday, September 29, 2010
EUREX DAX Futures - SCARY THOUGHTS
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an aggressive sell signal which should weigh on the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's low remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.
6260.0 is the Inflection Pivot to key off for the session tone. If the negative signal is going to follow through it will struggle to maintain a trade above here. Only above 6293.0 is the negative threat removed. A break under 6227.0 confirms fresh losses with 6161.0 and 6111.5 the extended targets for any negative follow through.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the previous session low is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT after a resistance level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "negative" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major support levels at or near the previous session low point. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back after a confirm break in the negative momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. You should expect the MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME _EntryStrategies5min.wmv.
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com . You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Wednesday, September 8, 2010
BRITISH POUND Futures - POSITIVE TRANSITION
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an strong positive signal which should keep the MKT firm today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
The 15410 Inflection Pivot is the base supporting the positive signal. If the currency is heading higher it will not do much if any trading below here. A breach of 15534 confirms the positive sentiment targeting 15689 on any new advance. A break under 15379 negates the optimistic outlook.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major resistance levels at or near the previous session high point. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back after a confirm break in the positive momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact.
On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "positive" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com . You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Tuesday, August 17, 2010
SP500 Index Futures - TRANSITIONAL
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and has produced a positive signal which should influence the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact it is less likely to do so with the MKT returning to a sideways trade. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
Key off the 1082.25 Inflection Pivot as the base for the positive transition signal. If the MKT is going to rotate higher any turn to support will bottom out above here.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major resistance levels at or near the previous session high point. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this level on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use a BREAKOUT strategy below 1082.25 as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back after a confirm break in the momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a BUY REVERSAL opportunity.
On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high has been taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies above 1091 and 1098.50 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies off the 1082.25 Inflection Pivot are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. Expect MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com . You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Thursday, July 29, 2010
Nasdaq 100 Index Futures - ON THE HOT SEAT
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an aggressive sell signal which should weigh on the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's low remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.
Key off the 1858.50 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. Below here the negative signal is in play and the MKT vulnerable.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the previous session low is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies below 1836.75 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT against 1858.50. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "negative" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies against 1877.75 are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off the 1836.75 or near the previous session low point. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies above 1877.75 as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back at 1858.50. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. You should expect the MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Thursday, July 22, 2010
GBPUSD FOREX - POSITIVE SIGNAL NEEDS CONFIRMATION
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an strong positive signal which should keep the MKT firm today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
Key off the 15245 Inflection Pivot today for a clue to the session tone. Above here the positive signal is in play. Below here and a soft sideways trade is the expectation.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off 15322 or near the previous session high point. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies under 15206 as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back against 15245 after a confirm break in the positive momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact.
On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies above 15322 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "positive" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended off the 15206 support pivot early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Tuesday, July 20, 2010
NASDAQ 100 INDEX Futures - LOOKING FOR LOVE
Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION with the potential for a positive turn. Opportunity exists on both sides however there is a better chance of acceleration to the upside if the integrity of the previous session low remains intact.
Key off the the 1818 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session bias. A held trade above here keeps the positive opportunity in play.
On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies until after the previous session low point or major support has been broken to confirm a shift in momentum. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy at the 1864.50 resistance pivot. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that the transition trade is over and a negative shift back into a NEUTRAL DIGESTION is expected. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 1818 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should use the same aggressive position management as a REVERSAL. Risk less go for more.
On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies with the expectation that the current negative to positive transition will continue. Keep aggressive position management on BREAKOUT strategies off 1841.25 and 1864.50 as the MKT is still in the neutral zone and has yet to commit to a new trend. A more conservative strategy would be to wait for negative reactions after a positive signal to FADE at 1841.25 or 1818. The trade should be fluid with the MKT immediately taking back lost ground after any downside squeeze.
Note: The MKT is trying to shift from a negative to a positive trend position. False starts and stops should be expected and position management adjustment anticipated, as quick momentum turns are the norm in this technical environment.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Wednesday, July 7, 2010
U.S. 30YR Treasury Bond Futures - TIME TO PLAY A CARD
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced a negative signal which should follow through today if the signal is valid with confirmation a break under the 126-19 Inflection Pivot. If the integrity of the 126-19 Inflection Pivot remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness below here and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the 126-19 level is taken out. Not that this is a precondition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies below should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT against the 127-14 level. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the 126-19 level hold, avoid REVERSAL strategies at the 128-09 resistance level as any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies against here are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of 126-19. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies above 128-09 as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back off 127-14 after a confirm break in the negative momentum. Only take this trade if the 126-19 support remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: Transitional trading conditions are difficult and can be full of false stops and starts. Be ready for a move but be prepared to work for it.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min web video explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Tuesday, July 6, 2010
GOLD Futures - LOST LUSTER
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced a negative signal which should follow through today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's low remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.
JS
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min webvideo explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Key off the 1212.6 Inflection Pivot. This is the high point for any positive squeeze if the negative signal is going to follow through.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the previous session low is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies below 1183.5 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT against 1193.2. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point under 1183.5. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies against 1212.6 as any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies at 1202.9 and 1212.6 are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off 1183.5 or near the previous session low point. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies above 1212.6 as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back at 1193.2 after a confirm break in the negative momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: Transitional trading conditions are difficult and can be full of false stops and starts. Be ready for a move but be prepared to work for it.
* ENTRY STRATEGY - 5min webvideo explaining FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv .
To learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Thursday, June 17, 2010
Dec'10 CORN Futures - TIME TO PLAY A CARD

Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an aggressive sell signal which should weigh on the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's low remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.
Key off the 371-2 Inflection Pivot as a trigger pointto confirm the sell signal. A held trade above this price puts the signal in question.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the 371-2 level is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies below 371-2 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT after a resistance level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "negative" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major support levels at or near the previous session low point or at 371-2. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies above 382-2 as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back after a confirm break in the negative momentum at 376-6. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. You should expect the MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
Learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Wednesday, June 16, 2010
Eurex BUND Futures - VULNERABLE

Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND but in a DIGESTIVE posture. The MKT has produced a negative signal but has yet to confirm a shift into trend mode. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT but selling strength is the better opportunity below the 12849 Inflection Pivot. If the negative signal is oing to follow through this will be the high point for any positive push today.
On the SELL side accept FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 12808 and 12767 should just "go" with the expectation of a clean breakout signal into a new trend. FADE strategies after a negative breakdown signal are good opportunities as well but expectation should be for the MKT to quickly move back under the failed support. If the trade becomes laborous it is more likely a signal that more digestive action is coming and a retest of resistance should be expected. Be more aggressive with FADE and REVERSAL strategies at 12849 targeting the opposing digestive support at 12767.
On the BUY side BREAKOUT strategies above 12849 are aggressive and should be entered sooner [lower] than later [higher]. Expectations should be for the MKT to make its move early in the session and not look back, holding strucutre most of the day. If the MKT digests prior to making a positive move it is more likely a short squeeze to FADE. BUY FADE strategies off the 12767 support are aggressive and if they are going to work should do so on the initial test of support. Repeated tests or "confirmation" are more likely to give way to a lower trade. BUY REVERSAL strategies are recommended off the session initial major support only, as the MKT is vulnerable to a negative trend shift. The probability is to the downside today so don't get stubborn buying breaks.
Note: The MKT has produced a negative signal and is flirting with a turn for the worse. If it does not follow through on any new weakness a positive "reversal" is a likely outcome with a retest of the digestive resistance.
JS
Learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
EURUSD - POSITIVE TRANSITION

Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and has produced a positive signal which should infleunce the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact it is less liekly to do so with the MKT returning to a sideways trade. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
The 12086 Inflection Pivot is the hurdle the MKT must hold above to confirm a sentiment shift.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major resistance levels at or near the previous session high point. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use a BREAKOUT strategy as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back after a confirm break in the momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a BUY REVERSAL opportunity.
On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high has been taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
Learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Monday, May 24, 2010
EURUSD Forex - EDGE OF THE ENVELOPE

Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION with sentiment leaning negative and flirting with a negative turn. Opportunity exists on both sides of the equation however the threat of an acceleration of the negative momentum outweighs the buy side if the integrity of the previous session high remains intact.
Key off the 12297 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. If the MKT is going to remain stable it will not do much trading below here. If so the negative momentum is expected to dominate.
On the SELL side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies with the expectation that the current positive to negative transition will continue. Keep aggressive position management on BREAKOUT strategies below 12297 as the MKT is still in the neutral zone and has yet to commit to a new trend. A more conservative strategy would be to wait for positive reactions after a negative signal to FADE into against 12373. The trade should be fluid with the MKT immediately giving background after any positive squeeze. 12449 is the high point for any positive squeeze if the negative signal is going to play out and FADE and REVERSAL signals should be excepted.
On the BUY side avoid FADE strategies of the 12297 support area until after the previous session high point or major resistance has been taken out to confirm a break in momentum. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy but only off 12297. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that the transition trade is over and a positive shift back into a NEUTRAL DIGESTION is expected. BUY BREAKOUT strategies above 12449 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should use the same aggressive position management as a REVERSAL. Risk less go for more.
Note: The MKT is trying to shift from a positive to a negative trend position. False starts and stops should be expected and position management adjustment anticipated, as quick momentum turns are the norm in this technical environment.
JS
Join our "LIVE" TRADE ROOM and learn JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Wednesday, April 14, 2010
CRUDE OIL - FLIP FLOP

** NEUTRAL TRANSITION **
The MKT has produced a major positive technical which will need to overcome resistance at 86.51 if the signal is valid. If not a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
84.29 is the Inflection Pivot keeping the positive signal in play.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off the 86.51 resistance pivot. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies below 85.03 as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back into the 85.77 Directional after a confirm break in the positive momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact.
On the BUY side be more aggressive after the86.51 resistance pivot is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies above here should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the 86.51 resistance pivot remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies off 84.29 as expectations are that the "positive" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies off 84.29 are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
Join our "LIVE" TRADE ROOM and learn JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
Crude Oil - - Market on the Move
** NEUTRAL TRANSITION **
Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION and is flirting with a shift in sentiment. Opportunity exists on both sides with the potential for a decisive session.
85.24 is the Inflection Pivot that will gauge sentiment today. Above here the MKT will maintain a positive bias, however any longs should look to enter at or near this level as the current rise is a little ahead of itself.
A break under 85.24 and sentiment turns sour targeting 83.56 and 81.89.
JS
Join our "LIVE" TRADE ROOM and learn JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION and is flirting with a shift in sentiment. Opportunity exists on both sides with the potential for a decisive session.
85.24 is the Inflection Pivot that will gauge sentiment today. Above here the MKT will maintain a positive bias, however any longs should look to enter at or near this level as the current rise is a little ahead of itself.
A break under 85.24 and sentiment turns sour targeting 83.56 and 81.89.
JS
Join our "LIVE" TRADE ROOM and learn JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Monday, March 29, 2010
GOLD - POSITIVE TRANSITION ABOVE 1103.1
Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an strong positive signal which should keep the MKT firm today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
Expectations are for the MKT to remain firm above the 1103.1 Inflection Pivot.

On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies above 1118.5 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "positive" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies off 1103.1 are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.
Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.
JS
Join our "LIVE" TRADE ROOM and learn JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Monday, March 22, 2010
Japanese Yen - Time to Play a Card

Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced a negative technical signal which must be confirmed below the 11042 Inflection Pivot if the signal is valid. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real. A held trade above 11042 and a quick positive shift is expected.
On the SELL side be more aggressive after the previous session low is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies below 11042 and the 10989 support pivot should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies against the 11095 resistance pivot are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major support levels [11042 and 10989] at or near the previous session low point. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back off the 11042 Inflection Pivot after a confirm break in the negative momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.
Note: Transitional trading conditions are difficult and can be full of false stops and starts. Be ready for a move but be prepared to work for it.
JS
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Tuesday, March 9, 2010
FTSE 100 - Negative Transition Signal
Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION with sentiment leaning negative and flirting with a negative turn. Key off the 5548.0 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. If the Index is going to fight off the negative sentiment it will maintain a trade above here. If not this may the leader in a sentiment shift.

On the SELL side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies with the expectation that the current positive to negative transition will continue. Keep aggressive position management on BREAKOUT strategies below 5548.0 as the MKT is still in the neutral zone and has yet to commit to a new trend. A more conservative strategy would be to wait for positive reactions after a negative signal to FADE into against the 5583.0 Directional after a break under 5548.0. The trade should be fluid with the MKT immediately giving background after any positive squeeze. Notable resistance at 5618.0 will contain the Neutral forecast.
On the BUY side avoid FADE strategies off 5548.0 until after the previous session high point or 5618.0 resistance has been taken out to confirm a break in the negative signal. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy off 5548.0. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that the transition trade is over and a positive shift back into a NEUTRAL DIGESTION is expected. BUY BREAKOUT strategies above 5618.0 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should use the same aggressive position management as a REVERSAL. Risk less go for more.
Note: The MKT is trying to shift from a positive to a negative trend position. False starts and stops should be expected and position management adjustment anticipated, as quick momentum turns are the norm in this technical environment.
JS
This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.
STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
Monday, December 14, 2009
NAT GAS - POSITIVE TRANSITION
** JAN'10 NAT GAS - NEUTRAL TRANSITION **
The MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION technical posture with the potential for a positive turn. Opportunity exists on both sides however there is a better chance of acceleration to the upside if the integrity of the 5.134 Inflection Pivot remains intact.
On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies until after the 5.134 level has been broken to confirm a shift in momentum. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy but only off the 5.440 resistance level. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that the transition trade is over and a negative shift back into a NEUTRAL DIGESTION is expected. SELL BREAKOUT strategies under 5.134 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should use the same aggressive position management as a REVERSAL. Risk less go for more.
On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies with the expectation that the current negative to positive transition will continue. Keep aggressive position management on BREAKOUT strategies above 5.440 as the MKT is still in the neutral zone and has yet to commit to a new trend. A more conservative strategy would be to wait for negative reactions after a positive signal to FADE against 5.287 or 5.134. The trade should be fluid with the MKT immediately taking back lost ground after any downside squeeze.
Note: The MKT is trying to shift from a negative to a positive trend position. False starts and stops should be expected and position management adjustment anticipated, as quick momentum turns are the norm in this technical environment.
JS
The MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION technical posture with the potential for a positive turn. Opportunity exists on both sides however there is a better chance of acceleration to the upside if the integrity of the 5.134 Inflection Pivot remains intact.

On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies with the expectation that the current negative to positive transition will continue. Keep aggressive position management on BREAKOUT strategies above 5.440 as the MKT is still in the neutral zone and has yet to commit to a new trend. A more conservative strategy would be to wait for negative reactions after a positive signal to FADE against 5.287 or 5.134. The trade should be fluid with the MKT immediately taking back lost ground after any downside squeeze.
Note: The MKT is trying to shift from a negative to a positive trend position. False starts and stops should be expected and position management adjustment anticipated, as quick momentum turns are the norm in this technical environment.
JS
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
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