Tuesday, December 18, 2012

GOLD

Today's MARKET STATE for GOLD: **BEAR TREND**

-The MKT is in a soft neutral position.  On the SELL side UP REVERSAL and FADE strategies with confirmation will be a better option over downside BREAKOUTS, as selling into corrective reactions is the best position.  The MKT remains negative but be patient as to not get caught FADING a corrective rise all the way up.  DP BREAKOUT strategies are valid opportunities but look to take profits on emotional drops versus getting trail stopped on corrective pull backs.
- On the BUY side DIR and UP BREAKOUT strategies should be looked at as a “one-shot” deal.  Either the MKT railroads higher in a steady climb or it’s just a head fake to sell.  If you get on a steady advance, ride it until structure is broken.  DP and DT1 REVERSAL strategies are valid, as the neutral tone has the potential to produce false signals in either direction.  Avid DP FADE BUYS as the negative trend remains in force.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for GC








Wrap Up
- With an MC Value of -5, the GOLD futures market followed through on the BEAR TREND market state signal.  The break in structure at the DP around 10:30 allowed traders to get short the market with a SELL DP BREAKOUT strategy.  With the market transitioning lower, we usually expect a move of 2 APMD, in this case, to the DT2.  The market stabilized at the DT1 for a brief moment around 11:30 before continuing all the way down to our profit objective at the DT2.

No comments:

Post a Comment