Monday, November 12, 2012

WHEAT

Today's MARKET STATE for WHEAT: **NEUTRAL DIGESTION**

-The MKT is in a sideways digestive position with a slight positive bias.
-On the SELL side avoid DP BREAKOUT strategies but rather FADE a positive reaction against the DIR after a negative breakdown signal.  UP and UT1 REVERSAL strategies are recommended over FADE strategies as “sloppy” trading conditions are expected.  Any UP FADE trades should get confirmation.
-On the BUY side UP BREAKOUT strategies are valid but should expect a laborious trade.  Work any position, selling into emotional surges and re-entering on any sharp pullbacks.  Expect a choppy trade and be aggressive on minimizing profit give-back.  DP and DT1 FADE and REVERSAL strategies are recommended.

Today's PRICE MAP Performance for W







Wrap Up
- Today in the WHEAT market, we had a NEUTRAL DIGESTION market state with a slight positive tone.  Since the analyst placed the R Level at the DIR, we know that today we are in a dynmaic market state and opportunity exists on both sides of the market.  In a NEU market state, our expectation is that trading should stay within the Critical Range so when we saw the breakdown from the DP around 8:00 AM below the R Level, we knew that this was an opportunity to execute a SELL DP BREAKOUT strategy that was in line with our sentiment bias.  In a neutral environment, position management should be tight as a choppy trading environment is expected.  Profits should have been realized at the DT1 around 10:30 AM.

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