Technically the MAR'10 DOW FUTURES is in a BULL TREND ACCELERATION posture and has produced a big positive signal. The MKT should "run" to a new level if the signal is valid.
Key off the 10262 Inflection Pivot as the sentiment bias for this signal.
On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed at the 10570 and 10686 extremes following an exhaustive signal. Expectations should be for an immediate exhaustive turn with the MKT quickly moving away from the area. A gradual decline following a reversal signal and it is more likely just a pause before another round of buying, so lock in any unrealized gains. SELL FADE strategies against 10416 and 10570 have potential but wait for repeated tests, with the best opportunity not violating the resistance level. Consider rolling long on any stops with this strategy. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 10262 are not recommended but can be used as a signal for a FADE against Directional resistance at 10339.
On the BUY side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies above the previous session's low point or 10262 Inflection Pivot. BREAKOUT strategies above 10416 early in the session may have issues holding structure, so respect any break in momentum. BUY FADE strategies off 10262 are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold higher structure and any failure should be considered a potential negative corrective shift. The MKT is aggressively bid which should keep pace throughout the session if the TREND ACCELERATION forecast is going to play out.
Note: The worst-case scenario for a MKT in this technical position is to go higher early in the session and then break all day. Be alert and recognize this. If you have > 3 loser long trades, consider taking the next sell signal, anticipating a corrective turn. Remember in this technical position if the MKT is going higher, it should just go. If not, there is the potential for a corrective break or digestive trading environment.
Good Trading.
JS
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.
