STRATEGY BASED TRADING - BULL TREND CORRECTION

Continuing with the BULL TREND CORRECTION focus the Currencies have provided us opportunity for this signal state. Each MKT presented has produced a negative signal against an underlying positive trend. Is this signal going to follow through to the downside or is this just an opportunity to re-enter a positively trending MKT.

* Please read the previous posts for the week on BULL TREND CORRECTION as well as the webvidoe tutorial links.

To answer this question we look at the MKTs behavioral state and the specific price point or inflection pivot where sentiment for the signal is confirmed or denied. Trading at this price point is optimal however aligning your signal acceptance to the sentiment bias in the BULL TREND CORRECTIVE state will enhance your performance.

For today, September 25 2009 - The following MKTs are in a BULL TREND CORRECTIVE state:

EU = EUROFX Dec'09 – 14681 Inflection Pivot

DA = Australian Dollar – 8534 Inflection Pivot

AUDJPY = Aussie / Yen – 7905 Inflection Pivot

EUROFX Z'09 - The MKT produced a negative signal against an underlying positiver trend and will remain in a BULL TREND CORRECTION technical state below the 14681 Inflection Pivot. If the negative action is going to continue the currency will struggle to maintain a trade above 14681. A failure from 14609 confirm fresh selling targeting 14517 on any negative follow through.

A held rise above 14681 removes the negative threat sparking a rally up to 14767. Stay nimble. This move does have potential to be the beginnings of a new leg higher however the Friday trade will most likely keep the trade digestive.

Australian$ z'09 - The MKT is expected to shrug off yesterday's negative signal with all trading above the 8534 Inflection Pivot. Keep a buy break bias above here expecting the positive momentum to remain in force. Only under 8534 does sentiment shift.


AUDJPY - The cross is trying to find its footing but will continue to struggle with all trading below the 7906 Inflection Pivot. This is the high point for any buying today if the negative corrective signal is going to remain in force. A rise above 7905 revives the aggressive buyers with 7958 the initial target. Work any sustain positive structure with expectations for a run at the recent move highs at 8006.



JS



Strategy Based Trading is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market and looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria.


Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.