Thursday, December 3, 2009

CORRECTIVE SIGNAL STATE - SP500 Index

The Dec'09 SP500 Index posted a new move high lower close to put the contract back in a NEUTRAL CORRECTION technical posture. The MKT is in a bit of a vacuum pocket and is primed for some volatility. 1089 is the beginning of a support band that extends down to the 1084.50 Inflection Pivot. This is the low point for any lower squeeze if the underlying positive momentum is going to resume. Accept buy signals in this zone. A held failure from 1084.50 is a fresh negative signal which extends the pressure down to 1071. Here again buying is expected. Only under this support do I see the potential for a release with 1044 and 1026 targeted. 990 is the current extreme.


Use the 1098 Directional level as a sentiment guide for the session. A held trade above here has the Index playing cat and mouse up to 1107. If the CORRECTIVE trade is going to resume the MKT will reject here. If not the buyers will try to ramp things back up targeting new move highs up to 1120.50. 1132 and 1153.25 are the extended targets.

JS

Price Map performance for Wednesday's post for Thursday DEC 3 2009.


Note how the MKT was not able to sustain a trade above the 1112.25 Inflection Pivot which ultimately provided the signal to the negative move. This is Strategy Based Trading at work. Our expectations are that the MKT should maintain a trade above the Inflection Pivot if the BULL TREND was going to resume. If not expectations are that the MKT will fall back into a DIGESTIVE trade lower. The MKT could not maintain a trade above 1112.25 and broke down as expected. Align your expectations with the current technical posture and use JS Services Inflection Pivots to capture opportunity.

Dec'09 SP500 Index Dec 3, 2009

For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

BULL TREND DIGESTION - SP500 Index

The Dec'09 SP500 contract held its ground but could not extend off Tuesday's Acceleration signal dropping back into a BULL TREND DIGESTION technical state. Delayed reaction? Could be. Key off the 1112.25 Inflection Pivot of an indication of the session tone. If the MKT is good it will sustain a trade above here and not look back. The 1120.25 resistance pivot is the spoiler for any extended run today. Once cleared of this hurdle any new buying will have the potential to climb up to 1140.25 in the session. 1161 is the extended target.
*

- Trading below 1112.25 keeps the contract in a messy digestive trade down to 1104.25 and 1100. If the Index is going to maintain its composure it will stabilize above here. If not thing s can get a little slippery with 1084.50 and 1064 the low points for any new consolidation. 1039 is the extreme for any reversal of fortune in front of Friday's figure.


Be patient. If things don't get interesting quick the session could be another head banger.


JS


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

BULL TREND ACCELERATION Signal - SP500

The Dec'09 SP500 contract is back on the bid and flirting with an accleration in the positive momentum producing a BULL TREND ACCELERATION signal. A MKT in this technical state has produced a big posiitve signal which should follow through today if valid.


Key off the 1102 Inflection Pivot. This is the price point that determines the session bias. Above here the BULL TREND ACCELERATION signal is in play and the MKT aggressively bid. A breach of the recent highs at 1112.25 confirms the signal putting the Index on course for the 1132.75 and 1153.25 resistance targets.

Trading below 1102 lets some air out of the excitement down to 1091.75. This is the low point for any weakness today if the contract is going to maintain its composure. A break under 1091.75 negates yesterday's positive signal putting the MKT back in a difficult digestive trade with 1067 and 1047.50 targeted for any sentiment shift.

JS

For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Price Map performance for Monday's post for DEC 1 2009. Note how a breach of the 1098.25 level sparked a rally up to the 1112.25 recent highs.

Dec'09 SP500 Index Dec1, 2009

Strategy Based Trading aligining your expectations with the MKTs current Technical State.

STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html

Monday, November 30, 2009

NEUTRAL TRANSITION - SP500 Index

The Dec'09 SP500 contract bounced back on its feet and is flirting with a positive turn in momentum. The MKT is in a NEUTRAL TRANSITION technical posture with a bias to the plus side with all trading above the 1083.50 Inflection Pivot. If the contract is going to rotate higher it will not spend much if any time below here. If so the Index shifts back into a weak neutral posture targeting the Holiday low area at 1068-1067.



A breach of 1098.25 is a sign of strength that gives the TRANSITIONAL outlook credibility putting the recent highs at 1112.25 in jeopardy targeting 1124 and 1130.25 on any new advance.

JS

For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

BULL TREND CORRECTION TECHNICAL STATE - GOLD, NAT GAS, 10YR T-NOTE, 5YR T-NOTE, Aussie$, DRG and IIX Sector Index

Today I'm going to focus on MKTs that are in a BULL TREND CORRECTION technical state. A MKT in this position has an underlying positive trend but has produced a negative signal against that trend. This is a dynamic technical state with opportunity on both sides of the trade equation.

By developing a strategy to trade this state and apply only in MKTs that are producing negative signals against a positive trend or a BULL TREND CORRECTION, you not only improve your chances of a successful trade but also have a more satisfying trade experience as your strategy is align with your expectation.

* Practical Application review for Sep 21,2009 BULL TREND CORRECTION MKTs click here http://www.jsservices.com/recaps/JSSReviewUTC92109.wmv

For today, November 30 2009 - The following MKTs are in a BULL TREND CORRECTIVE state:

GC = GOLD Jan'10 - 1158.9 Inflection Pivot
NG = NAT GAS Jan'10 - 4.809 Inflection Pivot
TY = 10YR T-NOTE Mar'10 - 119-04 Inflection Pivot
FV = 5YR T-NOTE Mar'10 - 116-297 Inflection Pivot
DA = Australian Dollar Dec'09 - 9179 Inflection Pivot
DRG = Pharmaceutical Sector Index - 307 Inflection Pivot
IIX = Inter@tive Internet Sector Index - 22511 Inflection Pivot

The MKTs presented are "technically" in play, in a BULL TREND CORRECTIVE state, providing opportunity of both sides of the MKT. In this trend position it is more likely that the MKT is going to move than not. Typical scenarios are either 1. Downside follow through on the negative signal, 2. Positive reversal and resumption of the underlying Bull Trend or 3. Sideways neutral digest. By using the Inflection Pivot as a sentiment guide, [Bull Trend resumption above, Negative Correction Below] you can optimize your strategy performance and capitalize on this technical signal state.

Good Trading

JS

Strategy Based Trading is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market and looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.

STRATEGY BASED TRADING Reviewhttp://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html

For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

CRUDE OIL - BEAR TREND ACCELERATION Signal

The Jan'10 CRUDE OIL produced a negative signal yesterday and is currently in a BEAR TREND ACCELERATION technical state.


The price points to focus on are the 75.32 Support Pivot and the 78.11 Inflection Pivot.


75.32 is the confirmation failure point for the current market structure. A break under this price point signals further losses with 73.46 the immediate target.


78.11 is the session Inflection Pivot. This is the market over under level and the high point for any positive squeeze today. If the negative signal is going to play out and positive surge will top out below here. Notable resistance at 77.18 is also expected to provide a reaction as a gauge of any positive push. Accept REVERSAL signals here.
Good Trading
JS
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

Recap:Nov 23, 2009 - SP500, DOW Futures, FTSE100

As a practical application recap of yesterday's BULL TREND CORRECTION signals I will go over the performance for each market presented.


SP500 Dec'09 1095.50 Inflection Pivot


The Index started teh week in a negative corrective signal which remained in force below the 1095.50 Inflection Pivot. During Sunday evening's session the level was tested and then violated early Monday. The violation negated the negative signal and confirmed a resumption of the underlying positive trend providing a nice buy opportunity. This is a perfect example of a REVERSAL opportunity in the BULL TREND CORRECTION technical signal.

DOW Futures Dec'09 10349 Inflection Pivot
The DOW provided a similar opportunuty breaking out above it's Inflection Pivot in the early Monday hours. This is why I like this signal state so much. It is dynamic and provides a great opportunity to get back on the underlying trend and favorable prices. Here even coming in at the regular session the violation of the 10412 JS Services initial target level provided a nice pop up to the 2nd target.


FTSE100 Dec'09 5313 Inflection Pivot

The FTSE100 was the best opportunity as its REVERSAL buy signal happened during the regular session and was combined with an Upside Pivot [UP] breakout signal attaining the 2nd Upside Target [UT2] in the session.


This is the Strategy Based Trading approach at work. Our expectations where for the MKT to key off the session Inflection Pivot to confirm or deny the negative technical corrective signal. Once the Inflection Pivot was breached market sentiment shifted back to the underlying posiitve trend producing a fresh buy opportunity.

The charts presented show JS Services Price Map overlay. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial


Good Trading

JS

STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html