Wednesday, June 30, 2010

SP 500 Index Futures - Cooler Heads Prevail

Technically the MKT is pressing the EXTREME of a BEAR TREND move and may need a sideways session or two before it can extend lower. Don't risk too much hoping for it however as the momentum is down and sellers have probability on there side.

1043.50 is the Inflection Pivot keeping the Index in an aggressive sell posture. As long as the MKT is below here it is vulnerable to further losses. Key off the 1012 support pivot as this is the breaking point for a new move south. A failure here should pull the rug on the contract, if not a sharp positive reaction should be expected.

On the SELL side downside BREAKOUT strategies are valid below 1012 but will struggle sustaining new move lows at this time. Get in to these trades sooner (higher) than later (lower) as new weakness is expected to be stop and go. A more conservative strategy is to FADE a positive reaction after a negative breakdown signal against 1027.75 and even better to wait for a REVERSAL off this corrective rise rather than stepping in front of int. FADE and REVERSAL are recommended at 1043.50 especially after a sharp corrective rise. The MKT is negative but is also extended and the probability of a corrective rise is high.. Wait for an exhaustive signals or confirmation to jump on.

On the BUY side BREAKOUT strategies above 1043.50 should have aggressive trail stops and tighter profit targets. There is a good chance for a corrective turn but profit targets and position management should be tight as this is more likely a rally to sell. If you get on, ride it until structure is broken and then look to go the other way. BUY REVERSAL strategies off 1012 and in the 975.25-962.50 area will provide opportunity off of lower support inflections but will work best after a sharp trade lower through major support. Expectations are for no follow through not a reversal of sentimnet. Keep risk management and profit targets tight to reduce giveback as the underlying technical foundation today is negative. Avoid FADE BUYS as the negative trend remains enforce with sell FADE opportunities the better place to step out.

Note: Just because the MKT is extended does not mean it cannot get more extended. Wait for a signal don't force one.
 
JS

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Tuesday, June 29, 2010

CRUDE OIL Futures - VULNERABLE

Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND ACCELERATION technical state and flirting with the lower extreme. The MKT has produced a big negative signal and any positive corrective action is expected to be short lived with only one upside "stop sweep" if the negative momentum is going to play out. Any held strength and repeated probe higher is a sign that the trade will turn digestive. This does not take away from the negative bias but does limit the profit potential for any new sales in the session.

Key off the 77.37 Inflection Pivot. This is the high point for any positive squeeze. Notable resistance at 76.50 has the potential as well to put a cap on any buying.

On the SELL side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies below the 77.37 Inflection Pivot. BREAKOUT below 74.76 may need to be "worked" as the MKT is on edge and will be emotional, producing some starts and stops before it drops. FADE strategies are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold lower structure and any momentum shift should be considered a potential positive corrective turn.

On the BUY side avoid REVERSAL strategies off major support levels as these signals are more likely short squeeze rallies and opportunities to SELL into and FADE. BREAKOUT strategies above the 76.50 and 77.37 are a long shot, so risk less and go for more. Any BUY FADE off the 74.76 or 73.02 support levels should have confirmation and are not recommended if the integrity of the previous session high is intact. After a break in the negative structure confirmed support levels can be used for short term reactions using aggressive position management.

Note: The MKT is on edge and is vulnerable to a big drop. If the previous session high is intact its just a matter of time before the sellers try to overwhelm the MKT. Look for excuses to get short. If the previous session high is breached opportunity will be on both sides of the MKT, however the bias still rests with the Bears.

JS

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Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Eurex BUND Futures - MIXED SIGNALS


The MKT has produced a big positive signal and is flirting with a resumption of the BULL TREND, however it currently remains vulnerable to further corrective action with all trading below the 12872 Inflection Pivot. This is the hurdle the market must overcome to confirm yesterday's positive signal.

On the SELL side accept FADE strategies on the initial test against 12872 or at the previous session high only. Repeated tests are expected to give way to higher prices as above the previous session high the corrective structure will be broken confirming the positive signal. Avoid REVERSAL strategies as any violations of resistance are positive. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 12823 and 12776 are valid but aggressive. The MKT has produced a positive signal so if it does not follow through a negative turn could have some potential. Either way have a defined exit strategy as any negative action will be counter trend.

On the BUY side accept REVERSAL signals off all major inflection levels expecting the underlying positive tone to resume course. FADE strategies off 12776 should work on the initial test. The MKT has generated a positive signal and if it is going to follow through it should just go. Work any BUY BREAKOUT strategies above 12872 as any positive shift in momentum has the potential to be the start of the next leg higher.

Note: the MKT has produced a major technical buy signal and is poised for a resumption of the BULL TREND. Look for excuses to get long above 12872 and be weary of a difficult trade below this price point..

JS

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Monday, June 21, 2010

SP500 Futures - CORRECTIVE


The MKT has produced a positive signal and is flirting with a resumption of the BULL TREND.
Key off the 1120 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. Below here the Index will continue to search for a corrective low point with 1088.50 the expected bottom or any further corrective action. A rise above 1120 and the underlying positive momentum with be back in launch mode.

On the SELL side accept FADE strategies against 1120 on the initial test of major resistance below or at the previous session high only. Repeated tests are expected to give way to higher prices as above the previous session high the corrective structure will be broken confirming the positive signal. Avoid REVERSAL strategies as any violations of resistance are positive. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below the 1103.75 support pivot are valid but aggressive. The MKT has produced a positive signal so if it does not follow through a negative turn could have some potential down to 1096 and 1088.50. Either way have a defined exit strategy as any negative action will be counter trend.

On the BUY side accept REVERSAL signals off all major inflection levels atr 1103.75, 1096 and 1088.50 expecting the underlying positive tone to resume course. FADE strategies should work on the initial test. The MKT has generated a positive signal and if it is going to follow through it should just go. Work any BUY BREAKOUT strategies above 1120 as any positive shift in momentum has the potential to be the start of the next leg higher.

Note: the MKT has produced a technical buy signal but remains in a corrective trade. Look for excuses to get long on qualified signals but respect the corrective posture.

JS

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Sunday, June 20, 2010

SP500 Futures - SENTIMENT SHIFT

The SP500 is set for a drama day as it is currently flirting with a sentiment shift. A held trade above 1122.75 points to a higher trade targeting 1147.50 on any momentum breakout. Don't fight any positive structure as a railroad advance up to 1174 will be in play.

A trade under 1122.75 puts the MKT back in a digestive posture down to 1113.50 and 1104.25 Inflection Pivot. Either price point has the potential to be the low for the expected consolidation, with a close above 1113.50 needed to keep the underlying positive shift intact. Only below 1104.25 is a negative turn anticipated down to 1084.25. No follow through is expected, however 1041.25 is the current lower extreme.

JS

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Thursday, June 17, 2010

Dec'10 CORN Futures - TIME TO PLAY A CARD


Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and difficult trading conditions are expected. The MKT has produced an aggressive sell signal which should weigh on the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's low remains intact a return to a sideways trend less trade is likely. Roll with any new weakness and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move lower is real.


Key off the 371-2 Inflection Pivot as a trigger pointto confirm the sell signal. A held trade above this price puts the signal in question.

On the SELL side be more aggressive after the 371-2 level is taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of weakness. BREAKOUT strategies below 371-2 should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any positive reaction off an unsuccessful downside BREAKOUT after a resistance level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up back under the original failure point. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as expectations are that the "negative" signal is going to follow through it should do so straight away and any break in the negative momentum is a positive signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The negative signal will either play out from the get go or will weigh on the MKT in the latter stages of the trading session.
On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major support levels at or near the previous session low point or at 371-2. Avoid this strategy on lower levels as any new weakness has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session low remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this support area avoid this strategy. Use BREAKOUT strategies above 382-2 as a signal to FADE a negative pull-back after a confirm break in the negative momentum at 376-6. Only take this trade if the previous session low point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a SELL REVERSAL opportunity.

Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. You should expect the MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.

JS

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Wednesday, June 16, 2010

NASDAQ 100 Index Futures: FUN AND GAMES


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE state producing a negative signal against a positive trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT however buying breaks above the 1880.50 Inflection Pivot is the best bet. 1880.25 is the low point for any weakness today if the underlying posiitve momentum is going to keep pace.

On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy but only off the 1st major resistance level at 1913.50. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that if the MKT is going to follow through on its negative signal any stength is just a "head fake " before it follows through. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 1880.50 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at support targets. The trade is corrective and the underlying positive tone must be respected.

On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies are recommended over a FADE strategies off 1880.50, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges to the support integrity before executing a long off it. BREAKOUT strategies above 1913.50 can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a positive posture with the expectation that the Bull Trend is going to resume. If not a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction after a positve breakout signal at 1897 as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.

Note: The MKT is in a corrective position with the potential to move in either direction. Keep your opinions to themselves and focus on what the MKT is telling you it wants to do. Don't fight it, roll with it.

JS

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Eurex BUND Futures - VULNERABLE


Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND but in a DIGESTIVE posture. The MKT has produced a negative signal but has yet to confirm a shift into trend mode. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT but selling strength is the better opportunity below the 12849 Inflection Pivot. If the negative signal is oing to follow through this will be the high point for any positive push today.

On the SELL side accept FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 12808 and 12767 should just "go" with the expectation of a clean breakout signal into a new trend. FADE strategies after a negative breakdown signal are good opportunities as well but expectation should be for the MKT to quickly move back under the failed support. If the trade becomes laborous it is more likely a signal that more digestive action is coming and a retest of resistance should be expected. Be more aggressive with FADE and REVERSAL strategies at 12849 targeting the opposing digestive support at 12767.
On the BUY side BREAKOUT strategies above 12849 are aggressive and should be entered sooner [lower] than later [higher]. Expectations should be for the MKT to make its move early in the session and not look back, holding strucutre most of the day. If the MKT digests prior to making a positive move it is more likely a short squeeze to FADE. BUY FADE strategies off the 12767 support are aggressive and if they are going to work should do so on the initial test of support. Repeated tests or "confirmation" are more likely to give way to a lower trade. BUY REVERSAL strategies are recommended off the session initial major support only, as the MKT is vulnerable to a negative trend shift. The probability is to the downside today so don't get stubborn buying breaks.

Note: The MKT has produced a negative signal and is flirting with a turn for the worse. If it does not follow through on any new weakness a positive "reversal" is a likely outcome with a retest of the digestive resistance.

JS

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Monday, June 14, 2010

BRITISH POUND Futures - Searching for Resistance


Technically the MKT has produced a major positive signal into the upper extreme and will need to hold structure if it is going to avoid a drop back into a digestive trade.
Key off the 15035 Inflection Pivot as the potental exhaustive high point for any new interest today.

On the SELL side FADE signals are valid but REVERSAL strategies are a better option at 14916 and 15035. Have resting limit orders off support inflections and use aggressive position management to lock in any unrealized gains on any REVERSAL trade. BREAKOUT strategies at 14801 and 14686 are aggressive but do have the potential to profit from a quick negative move out of the extreme. Use tight position management for these strategies as any unrealized profits can be erased quickly by the underlying positive momentum.

On the BUY side accept FADE strategies off the 14686 support pivot after confirmation. The MKT is extended and may search for stops before it resumes its Bull move. REVERSAL strategies are a better option. The sharper the break, the better for an entry with the expectations that the MKT is going to revisit the recent move high. BUY BREAKOUT strategies above 14801 and 14916 may need to be "worked" as the MKT is extended and has the potential to produce some starts and stops, with 15035 the high point for any positive push. Only above here does the rally extend.

JS

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Saturday, June 12, 2010

STRATEGY BASED TRADING TOOLS WEBINAR EVENT JUNE 22, 2010

Webinar Event – Market Structure vs. Market Madness

SIGN UP: http://www.traderkingdom.com/eventsdemo/details/133

The problem with technical analysis is that it is too subjective and is easily curve fitted to a market opinion. Having an objective resource is paramount to keeping you grounded to what the market “is” doing not what you “think” it’s going to do or “should” be doing.

JS Services provides an indicator that objectively defines the technical and behavioral structure of the market.

By incorporating hard objective structure to dynamic trading decisions you can improve your strategy selection by aligning your expectations and strategy criteria to the current technical state. This will allow you to better anticipate opportunity and provide higher confidence in trade execution.

Join John Slazas for a fast paced webinar event introducing JS Services Strategy Based Trading Tools, which define the framework of the market’s current technical state and are available as a complimentary resource on the Trader Kingdom website. John will demonstrate how to use JS Services Outlook to breakdown the technical structure of the market and show specific strategies to capture opportunity including position and size management.

Topics to be addressed include:

* What is JS Services complimentary offering on the Trader Kingdom website

* What is JS Services Technical Outlook and how does it define the markets technical and behavioral structure.

* Demonstrate how an objective trading tool that defines market structure removes the subjectivity of trading and allows you to develop strategies that anticipate opportunity and are in line with the markets technical state

* Show how to create strategies using JS Services Price Map analysis that is available on the Trader Kingdom website.

* Live examples of the current trading session demonstrating the techniques discussed using JS Services Price Map Chart Overlay Ninja Trader application.

The Strategy Based Trading approach is applicable to most trading styles [high frequency, intraday, swing and position] working best in liquid Futures, FOREX, Interest Rate and ETF markets.

John Slazas has over 25 years experience in the Futures and Options markets in such areas as trading, technical analysis, system design, publication, trade execution and clearing. He is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of JS Services Research and Trading, LLC. The company was formed in 1984 as a full-service technical research company to provide trading strategies and support to exchange members and institutional trading houses.

Thursday, June 10, 2010

BUND Futures -CORRECTIVE


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE state producing a negative signal against a positive trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT however a held trade above the 12812 Inflection Pivot will keep the underlying tone positive. Only below this support does sentiment turn sour.

On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy but only off the 1st major resistance level at 12880. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that if the MKT is going to follow through on its negative signal any stength is just a "head fake " before it follows through. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 12812 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at support targets. The trade is corrective and the underlying positive tone must be respected.


On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies are recommended over a FADE strategies, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges to the support integrity before executing a long off 12812. BREAKOUT strategies above 12880 can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a positive posture with the expectation that the Bull Trend is going to resume. If not a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction after a positve breakout signal at 12846 as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.

Note: The MKT is in a corrective position with the potential to move in either direction. Keep your opinions to themselves and focus on what the MKT is telling you it wants to do. Don't fight it, roll with it.

JS

Learn more about JS Services Strategy Based Trading approach using CLEARBOX automated strategies! For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/ and sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

EURUSD - POSITIVE TRANSITION


Technically the MKT is in NEUTRAL TRANSITION and has produced a positive signal which should infleunce the MKT today if the signal is valid. If the integrity of the prior session's high remains intact it is less liekly to do so with the MKT returning to a sideways trade. Roll with any new strength and leverage up if good risk parameters present themselves. The potential to get in at the beginning of a new move higher is real.
The 12086 Inflection Pivot is the hurdle the MKT must hold above to confirm a sentiment shift.

On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of major resistance levels at or near the previous session high point. Avoid this strategy on higher levels as any new strength has the potential to be the beginning of a move. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact FADE strategies can be accepted at or near this inflection point on the initial test with tight profit target objectives. If the MKT has already had a reaction off this resistance area avoid this strategy. Use a BREAKOUT strategy as a signal to FADE a positive pull-back after a confirm break in the momentum. Only take this trade if the previous session high point remains intact. Otherwise this will be a BUY REVERSAL opportunity.

On the BUY side be more aggressive after the previous session high has been taken out. Not that this is a pre-condition but should be noted as a confirmation of strength. BREAKOUT strategies should just "go" so keep risk parameters tight. FADE into any negative reaction off an unsuccessful upside BREAKOUT after a support level is confirmed. Use a REVERSAL strategy to leverage up after the MKT gets back above the original breakout point. If the integrity of the previous session high remains intact, avoid REVERSAL strategies as any break momentum is a negative signal that the MKT is going to return to its neutral posture. FADE strategies are recommended early in the session or near the end. The positive signal will either play out from the get go or will make its move in the latter stages of the trading session.

Note: This is a dangerous emotional trading environment. MKT reactions to go a little further that you expect in either direction so anticipate this in your position and risk management.


JS


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Tuesday, June 8, 2010

5yr T-NOTE Futures - TRYING TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE


Technically the MKT is in a DIGESTIVE BULL TREND and is flirting with a shift into a more aggressive positive position. Look for excuses to get long but respect the digestive nature and avoid pressing any position.

Key off the 117-0225 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. This is the base for the underlying positive momentum and will maintain its integrity if the 5yr is in for higher prices.

On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies and use a REVERSAL instead against the 117-152 resistance pivot. The MKT is excited but has yet to confirm any new advance. Expectations are that any false positive breakout signal will be met with a sharp negative reaction. BREAKOUT strategies below 117-022 are a lower probability but are valid and in line with a reversal scenario. If the MKT has already produced a false positive signal and is holding negative reversal structure, this strategy has potential. Expectations are that any negative BREAKOUT should just go and with the MKT staying under pressure into the close and expanding the digestive range. Anticipate a positive turn and consider reversing off lower support structure.

On the BUY side accept FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies. BREAKOUT strategies above 117-152 have the potential to run. If so, they will just "go" and not look back. Any stop and go action and any profits should be realized as it is more likely the MKT will be setting up a re-test of support to FADE before it can extend higher. FADE and REVERSAL strategies should work off the 117-022 support inflection pivot and only provide one opportunity. Repeated tests or base building and it is more likely the MKT is going to search for its lower digestive extreme rather than resume a positive course.

Note: The MKT has produced a positive signal but is not confirmed. Be ready for it but if it does not materialize, beware of a negative reaction. Don't get caught fading a break that continues to hold structure as the MKT may be defining its lower digestive extreme and will most likely find it after it hits your last sell stop.

JS

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Monday, June 7, 2010

SP500 Futures- VULNERABLE BELOW 1070


Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND ACCELERATION position and is vulnerable to the offer with all trading below the 1070 Inflection Pivot. Any positive corrective action is expected to be short lived below here with only one upside "stop squeeze" if the negative moemtnum is going to play out. Any held strength and repeated probe higher is a sign that the trade will turn digestive. This does not take away from the negative bias but does limit the profit potential for any new sales in the session.

On the SELL side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies below the previous sessions high point. BREAKOUT strategies under 1045 should just "go", so do not risk much. FADE strategies against 1070 are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold lower structure and any momentum shift should be considered a potential positive corrective turn.

On the BUY side avoid REVERSAL strategies off the 1045 support pivot as these signals are more likely short squeeze rallies and opportunities to SELL into and FADE against 1057.50. BREAKOUT strategies above 1070, so risk less and go for more. Any BUY FADE off 1045 should have confirmation and are not recommended if the integrity of the previous session high is intact. After a break in the negative structure confirmed support levels can be used for short term reactions using aggressive position management.
Note: The MKT is in an aggressive sell posture. If the previous session high is intact its just a matter of time before the sellers try to overwhelm the MKT. Look for excuses to get short. If the previous session high is breached opportunity will be on both sides of the MKT, however the bias still rests with the Bears.

JS

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Saturday, June 5, 2010

XAL - Airline Sector Index : CORRECTIVE SIGNAL


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE state producing a big negative signal against a positive trend. If the negative signal is going to follow through it should do so from the get go and not look back. Any break in the negative structure is a signal that the positive trend will try to reassert itself.

Key off the 3644 Inflection Pivot. If the underlying positive momentum is going to resume the MKT will build a base above here.

On the SELL side FADE strategies should work on the initial test and immediately turn the market lower. Repeated tests is a sign that the market will try to probe higher. REVERSAL strategies should be avoided as any positive signal is more likely an indication that the underlying trend is going to resume. SELL BREAKOUT strategies can be profitable but they are after a major negative signal and have the potential to be stop and go. The trade has the potential to be the beginning of a major sentiment shift if it turns sour.

On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies are recommended over a FADE strategies, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges to the support integrity before executing a long off it. BREAKOUT strategies can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a positive posture. If not a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction after a positive breakout signal as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.

Note: The MKT has produced a big technical signal against the current trend. Be aware that the negative action may be a 1-day event with the positive trend quickly re-establishing itself. If the MKT is really going to turn it should remain hard pressed and provide little or no relief. Don't fight any sustained weakness as the potential for a sentiment shift is real.

JS

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Tuesday, June 1, 2010

NAT GAS Futures - CORRECTIVE SIGNAL


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL DIGESTIVE position and has produced a negative signal. The MKT is in Neutral so if it does not follow through on its negative signal the potential for a whiplash rally is high.


Key off the 4.154 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. A held trade above here keeps the underlying tone positive.


On the SELL side accept FADE, BREAKOUT and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 4.154 may need to be "worked" as the neutral position will produce some starts and stops. FADE strategies after a negative breakdown signal at 4.227 are good opportunities as well but expectation should be for the MKT to quickly move back under the failed support. If the trade just "hangs around" is more likely a signal that more digestive action is coming and a retest of resistance should be expected. Be more aggressive with FADE and REVERSAL strategies at 4.300 or against the previous session high point targeting the opposing digestive support. Above the previous session high point enterying after the 2nd or 3rd press into an area is recomended over stepping in front of the initial challenge.

On the BUY side BREAKOUT strategies above 4.300 are aggressive and should be entered sooner [lower] than later [higher]. Expectations should be for the MKT to reversing yesterday's negative signal and holding strucutre after a positive signal. If the MKT digests prior to making a positive move it is more likely a short squeeze to FADE. BUY FADE strategies off 4.154 are aggressive and if they are going to work should do so on the initial test of support. Repeated tests or "confirmation" are more likely to give way to a lower trade. BUY REVERSAL strategies are recommended off 4.154 only, as the MKT is vulnerable to a negative trend shift.

Note: The MKT has produced a negative signal in a neutral environment. This is teither the beging of a new trend move south or a press into the negative extreme which is about to snap back. Don't get tied into either opinion and let the MKT tell you what is.


JS


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