Sunday, January 31, 2010

FOREX: GBPUSD - BEAR TREND ACCELERATION

Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND ACCELERATION position and is vulnerable to the offer with all trading below the 16190 Inflection Pivot . Any positive corrective action is expected to be short lived with only one upside "stop squeeze" exhuasting below 16190, if the negative moemtnum is going to play out. Any held strength and repeated probe higher is a sign that the trade will turn digestive. This does not take away from the negative bias but does limit the profit potential for any new sales in the session.


On the SELL side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies below the previous sessions high point. BREAKOUT strategies below the 15946 support pivot should just "go", so do not risk much. FADE strategies against 16068 and 16190 resistance are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold lower structure and any momentum shift should be considered a potential positive corrective turn.

On the BUY side avoid REVERSAL strategies off major support levels as these signals are more likely short squeeze rallies and opportunities to SELL into and FADE. BREAKOUT strategies above the 16068 resistance pivot are a long shot, so risk less and go for more using the 16190 level as the target. Any BUY FADE off the 15946 support pivot should have confirmation and are not recommended if the integrity of the previous session high is intact. After a break in the negative structure confirmed support levels can be used for short term reactions using aggressive position management.

Note: The MKT is in an aggressive sell posture. If the previous session high is intact its just a matter of time before the sellers try to overwhelm the MKT. Look for excuses to get short. If the previous session high is breached opportunity will be on both sides of the MKT, however the bias still rests with the Bears.


JS


This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

DEC'10 EURODOLLAR - NEUTRAL CORRECTION

- Technically the MKT has produced a major negative signal against a positive trend, which will remain in effect below the 9892.5 Inflection Pivot.


On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies against the 9897 resistance pivot until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. REVERSAL strategies here should be avoided as any positive signal is more likely an indication that the underlying trend is going to resume. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below the 9888 support pivot can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at the 9879 and 9872 support targets.-


On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies off the 9888 support pivot are recommended over FADE strategies, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges to the support integrity. BUY BREAKOUT strategies above the 9897 resistance pivot can risk a little more if current events confirm a positive posture. If not, a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction after a positive breakout signal at the 9892.5 directional Inflection Pivot, as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.

JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Japanese Yen Futures ** BULL TREND ACCELERATION **

Technically the Mar'10 Japanese Yen is in a BULL TREND ACCELERATION posture after producing a big positive technical signal. The MKT is in "play" and aggressive action is expected abve the 11105 Inflection Pivot. Anticipate opportunity and position management adjustments, as quick price action is likely.



On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off 11211 and 11344 major resistance levels. Expectations should be for an immediate exhaustive turn with the MKT quickly moving away from the area. A gradual decline folowing a reversal signal and it more likely just a pause before another round of buying, so in either scenerio keep position management tight. Avoid SELL FADE strategies against the 11211 resistance pivot even with confirmation, as this is more likely a lid for a BREAKOUT BUY strategy. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 11105 are not recommended but can be used as a signal for a FADE against the 11158 Directional reisstance.



On the BUY side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies above the 11105 Inflection Pivot. BREAKOUT strategies above 11211 should just "go", so do not risk much. Be wary of these strategies early in the session and look to exit on the 1st break in strucutre. BUY FADE strategies off 11158 and 11052 are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold higher structure and any failure should be considered a potential negative corrective shift. The MKT is aggressively bid which should keep pace throughout the session if the TREND ACCELERATION forecast is going to play out.


Note: The worst-case scenario for a MKT in this technical position is to go higher early in the session and then break all day. Be alert to recognize this. If you have > 3 loser long trades consider taking the next sell signal anticipating a corrective turn. Remember in this technical position if the MKT is going higher it should just go. If not there is the potential for a corrective break or digestive trading environment.


JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html



For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Monday, January 25, 2010

SP500 Index - NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME

SP500 H'10 ** NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME **


Technically the MKT is extended to the downside. Avoid selling into weakness but rather anticipate positive REVERSAL opportunities off the 1075.50 Inflection Pivot.

On the SELL side accept UP FADE and REVERSAL strategies against the 1099.50 resistance pivot, expecting more of a trend-less trading environment rather than a resumption of the BEAR TREND. FADE strategies are best on the initial challenge as repeated tests will most likely give way to a corrective rally. Avoid these strategies above the previous session high point as the potential for a strong fast positive turn is real. DP BREAKOUT strategies under 1075.50 will be enticing but are more likely a "trap".

On the BUY side FADE and REVERSAL strategies off the 1075.50 and 1063.50 support inflection points are qualified, however with a 1075.50 FADE use confirmation after the 2nd or 3rd test. REVERSAL strategies are better at 1075.50 and the strategy be used as a "trail" to any break, with the expectations of the MKT producing a sharp "V" bottom or exhaustive turning point reversal signal. UP BREAKOUT strategies above 1099.50 have the potential to pay off as the start of a new corrective move north.

JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.

STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Thursday, January 21, 2010

FTSE 100 - NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME

Technically the MKT is at a NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME and is ready to either pop back into a firm neutral posture or break into a new down trend. The MKT has produced a technical sell signal into support and is in a "Make or Break" scenario. Key off the 5296.5 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone. Volatility as well is on the fence and ready to rise with a new trend move and decline with some sideways "positioning".


On the SELL side accept FADE and BREAKOUT strategies expecting an immediate follow through to the MKT's technical sell signal. BREAKOUT strategies below 5257.5 should be worked with the expectation that any sustained trade and repeated tests of support will give way to negative follow through. This strategy is vulnerable to the MKT expanding its lower support band in a series of starts and stops. Keep profit targets extended to pay for any monies spent holding a position. FADE strategies against the 5335.5 resistance pivot should expect an immediate reaction as any held trade or violation of major resistance foreshadows a potential turning point. These are good opportunities to "roll" into a long position when stopped out.

On the BUY side FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major support base are qualified however the FADE strategies off the 5257.5 support pivot are a lower probability and should use tight risk criteria. REVERSALs can risk more but should also go for more profit with the expectation of a turning point "key reversal" signal to play out. BREAKOUT strategies above 5296.5 and 5335.5 are aggressive and should just "go" and not look back. Risk less and go for more. A laborious lack-luster rise after a positive breakout is a sign that the MKT is more likely expanding its resistance lid for a new consolidation verses transition from negative to positive technical posture.

Note: The MKT has produced a negative signal but it is not confirmed and trending indicators do not support follow through in either direction at this time. The MKT has the potential for big range conditions so don't get stuck FADing momentum in either direction.

JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

NATURAL GAS - CORRECTIVE SIGNAL


FUTURES: NAT GAS G'10 ** NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE **


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE posture, working a slight positive signal bias against a negative trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT, however the threat of the return of the negative momentum must be respected as a good probability with all trading below the 5.624 Inflection Pivot.

On the SELL side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the negative momentum is going to resume. Until the MKT breaks the positive corrective structure, keep profit targets and position management tight as the neutral trading environment has the potential to keep the trade trendless. BREAKOUT strategies below the 5.432 support pivot can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a negative posture with the expectation that the negative trend is going to resume. Get into these trades sooner [higher] than later [lower], anticipating a return to the negative trend.

On the BUY side FADE strategies are valid off the 5.432 support level but should not risk much and incorporate aggressive position management to reduce profit giveback. The underlying momentum remains negative and any long opportunity is short term with no follow through potential. REVERSAL strategies should be avoided, as any break in momentum is a sign that the BEAR TREND is ready to resume. BUY BREAKOUT strategies above 5.624 are aggressive and the better opportunity is to FADE a negative reaction after a positive breakout signal. These strategies should have resting limit orders at resistance target inflection points. Consider a REVERSE roll if there is confluence with other like MKTS or other indicator studies. The trade is corrective and expectations are for a resumption of the negative momentum.

Note: The MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE position with the most likely outcome being a difficult sideways trade. The negative momentum has been broken, so beware of getting sucked into "false" failure especially early in the session. There is the potential for a sharp short covering rally so don't FADE a rise that continues to hold structure.


JS


This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

US 30YR T-BOND Futures - Corrective Signal

Futures: US 30YR T-BOND H'10 - CORRECTIVE


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE state producing a negative signal against a positive trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT, however the underlying positive momentum will remain in command above the 116-22 Inflection Pivot.


On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies against 118-11 until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. Until then a better opportunity will be a REVERSAL strategy but only off 118-11. This is a one shot trade using a low risk big profit target criteria. The idea is that if the MKT is going to follow through on its negative signal any strength is just a "head fake " before it follows through. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 116-22 can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at support targets. The trade is corrective and the underlying positive tone must be respected.


On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies are recommended over a FADE strategies off 116-22, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges to the support integrity before executing a long off it. BREAKOUT strategies above 118-11 can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a positive posture with the expectation that the Bull Trend is going to resume. If not a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction at the 117-16 Directional after a positive breakout signal as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.


Note: The MKT is in a corrective position with the potential to move in either direction. Keep your opinions to themselves and focus on what the MKT is telling you it wants to do. Don't fight it, roll with it.


JS


This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

EUREX - BUND ** BULL TREND ACCELERATION **

EUREX BUND H'10 - BULL TREND ACCELERATION


Technically the MKT is in a BULL TREND ACCELERATION posture and has produced a big positive signal. The MKT is in "play" above the 12187 Inflection Pivot and aggressive action is expected off of technical signals. Anticipate opportunity and position management adjustments, as quick price action is likely.



On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off the 12247 resistance pivot and the 12290 level. Expectations should be for an immediate exhaustive turn with the MKT quickly moving away from the area. A gradual decline folowing a reversal signal and it more likely just a pause before another round of buying, so in either scenerio keep position management tight. Avoid SELL FADE strategies against the 12247 resistance pivot even with confirmation, as this is more likely a lid for a BREAKOUT BUY strategy. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 12187 are not recommended but can be used as a signal for a FADE against the 12217 Directional reisstance.



On the BUY side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies above the 12187 Inflection Pivot. BREAKOUT strategies above 12247 should just "go", so do not risk much expecting a move up to 12290 and 12327. Be wary of these strategies early in the session and look to exit on the 1st break in strucutre. BUY FADE strategies off 12217 and 12187 are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold higher structure and any failure should be considered a potential negative corrective shift. The MKT is aggressively bid which should keep pace throughout the session if the TREND ACCELERATION forecast is going to play out.

Note: The worst-case scenario for a MKT in this technical position is to go higher early in the session and then break all day. Be alert to recognize this. If you have > 3 loser long trades consider taking the next sell signal anticipating a corrective turn. Remember in this technical position if the MKT is going higher it should just go. If not there is the potential for a corrective break or digestive trading environment.


JS


This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Recap - Jan 13, 2010 MidCap 400

Yesterday's action in the EMD - MidCap 400 was a classic BUY REVERSAL opportunity. The MKT was in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE technical state after a negative sentiment shift from Tuesday's action. The 739.80 Inflection Pivot define the price point which would either confirm or deny this technical signal. In the outlook commentary BUY REVERSALS where favored over FADE as any false failure would be a signal that the underlying positive trend is going to resume.




For an overview of entry strategies please review the following webvideo.

ENTRY STRAT
http://www.jsservices.com/education/sbt/CME_EntryStrategies5min.wmv


JS

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

MidCap400 - Corrective Signal

Indices- MidCap400 H'10 [EMD] - NEUTRAL CORRECTION


Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE state producing a big negative signal against a positive trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT.


Key off the 739.80 Inflection Pivot, as this level will confirm or deny the current negative signal.


On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. REVERSAL strategies should be avoided as any positive signal is more likely an indication that the underlying trend is going to resume. SELL BREAKOUT strategies can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at support targets. The trade is counter trend so avoid any negative commitments.

On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies are recommended over a FADE strategies, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges to the support integrity before executing a long off it. BREAKOUT strategies can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a positive posture. If not a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction after a positive breakout signal as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.

Note: The MKT has produced a big technical signal against the current trend. Be aware that the negative action may be a 1-day event with the positive trend quickly re-establishing itself. If the MKT is really going to turn it should remain hard pressed and provide little or no relief.


JS


This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.


For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Monday, January 11, 2010

Nat Gas G'10 - NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME

ENERGY - NAT GAS G'10 - NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME


Technically the MKT is at a NEUTRAL NEGATIVE EXTREME and is ready to either pop back into a firm neutral posture or break into a new down trend. The MKT has produced a technical sell signal into the 5.314 support and is in a "Make or Break" scenario. Volatility as well is on the fence and ready to rise with a new trend move and decline with some sideways "positioning".
Key off the 5.516 Inflection Pivot for an indication of the session tone.

On the SELL side accept FADE and BREAKOUT strategies expecting an immediate follow through to the MKT's technical sell signal. BREAKOUT strategies below 5.314 should be worked with the expectation that any sustained trade and repeated tests of support will give way to negative follow through. This strategy is vulnerable to the MKT expanding its lower support band in a series of starts and stops. Keep profit targets extended to pay for any monies spent holding a position. FADE strategies against 5.516 should expect an immediate reaction as any held trade or violation of major resistance foreshadows a potential turning point. These are good opportunities to "roll" into a long position when stopped out.

On the BUY side FADE and REVERSAL strategies off 5.314 and 5.121 support levels are qualified however the FADE is a lower probability and should use tight risk criteria. REVERSALs can risk more but should also go for more profit with the expectation of a turning point "key reversal" signal to play out. BREAKOUT strategies above 5.516 are aggressive and should just "go" and not look back targeting 5.758 and 5.872. Risk less and go for more. A laborious lack-luster rise after a positive breakout is a sign that the MKT is more likely expanding its resistance lid for a new consolidation verses transition from negative to positive technical posture.

Note: The MKT has produced a negative signal but it is not confirmed and trending indicators do not support follow through in either direction at this time. The MKT has the potential for big range conditions so don't get stuck FADing momentum in either direction.

JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.

For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Soybeans H'10 - BEAR TREND ACCELERATION

Commodities: SOYBEANS H'10 - BEAR TREND ACCELERATION


Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND ACCELERATION position and is vulnerable to the offer. Any positive corrective action is expected to be short lived with only one upside "stop squeeze", topping out below the 1041-0 Inflection Pivot if the negative momentum is going to play out. Any held strength above here is a sign that the trade will turn digestive. This does not take away from the negative bias but does limit the profit potential for any new sales in the session.


On the SELL side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies below the 1041-0 Inflection Pivot. BREAKOUT strategies below 1006-4 should just "go", so do not risk much. FADE strategies against 1035-2 and 1041-0 are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold lower structure and any momentum shift should be considered a potential positive corrective turn.

On the BUY side avoid REVERSAL strategies off the 1006-4 and 1000-6 support levels as these signals are more likely short squeeze rallies and opportunities to SELL into and FADE. BREAKOUT strategies above the 1029-4 initial resistance are a long shot, so risk less and go for more. Any BUY FADE off 1006-4 or 1000-6 should have confirmation and are not recommended if the integrity of the previous session high is intact. After a break in the negative structure confirmed support levels can be used for short term reactions using aggressive position management.

Note: The MKT is in an aggressive sell posture. If the previous session high is intact its just a matter of time before the sellers try to overwhelm the MKT. Look for excuses to get short. If the previous session high is breached opportunity will be on both sides of the MKT, however the bias still rests with the Bears.

JS
This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.
For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Thursday, January 7, 2010

FOREX - USDJPY - Positive Signal

FOREX - USDJPY - BULL TREND ACCELERATION

Technically the MKT is in a BULL TREND ACCELERATION posture and has produced a big positive signal. The MKT is in "play" and remains a buying opportunity down to the 9188 Inflection Pivot. Anticipate opportunity and position management adjustments, as quick price action is likely.


On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off the 9408 and 9471 resistance levels. Expectations should be for an immediate exhaustive turn with the MKT quickly moving away from the area. A gradual decline folowing a reversal signal and it more likely just a pause before another round of buying, so in either scenerio keep position management tight. Avoid SELL FADE strategies even with confirmation, as this is more likely a lid for a BREAKOUT BUY strategy. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 9188 are not recommended but can be used as a signal for a FADE against the 9345 Directional reisstance.

On the BUY side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies off the major support levels. BREAKOUT strategies above 9408 should just "go", so do not risk much. Be wary of these strategies early in the session and look to exit on the 1st break in strucutre. BUY FADE strategies are recommended off the 9219 and 9188 support levels over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold higher structure and any failure should be considered a potential negative corrective shift. The MKT is aggressively bid which should keep pace throughout the session if the TREND ACCELERATION forecast is going to play out.

Note: The worst-case scenario for a MKT in this technical position is to go higher early in the session and then break all day. Be alert to recognize this. If you have > 3 loser long trades consider taking the next sell signal anticipating a corrective turn. Remember in this technical position if the MKT is going higher it should just go. If not there is the potential for a corrective break or digestive trading environment.

JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.
STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html
For more information please contact me at
info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Wednesday, January 6, 2010

NAT GAS G'10 - BULL TREND ACCELERATION

FUTURES: NATURAL GAS Feb'10 - ** BULL TREND ACCELERATION **


Technically the MKT is in a BULL TREND ACCELERATION posture and has produced a big positive signal. The MKT is in "play" above the 5.879 Inflection Pivot and aggressive action is expected off of technical signals. Anticipate opportunity and position management adjustments, as quick price action is likely.


On the SELL side REVERSAL strategies can be executed off of the 6.235 and 6.564 resistance levels. Expectations should be for an immediate exhaustive turn with the MKT quickly moving away from the area. A gradual decline folowing a reversal signal and it more likely just a pause before another round of buying, so in either scenerio keep position management tight. Avoid SELL FADE strategies even with confirmation, as this is more likely a lid for a BREAKOUT BUY strategy. SELL BREAKOUT strategies below 5.879 are not recommended but can be used as a signal for a FADE against 6.085 Directional reisstance.

On the BUY side accept FADE, REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies above the 5.879 Inflection Pivot. BREAKOUT strategies above 6.240-6.235 resistance should just "go", so do not risk much. Be wary of these strategies early in the session and look to exit on the 1st break in strucutre. BUY FADE strategies off 5.935 and 5.879 support are recommended over REVERSAL strategies as the MKT is expected to hold higher structure and any failure should be considered a potential negative corrective shift. The MKT is aggressively bid which should keep pace throughout the session if the TREND ACCELERATION forecast is going to play out.

Note: The worst-case scenario for a MKT in this technical position is to go higher early in the session and then break all day. Be alert to recognize this. If you have > 3 loser long trades consider taking the next sell signal anticipating a corrective turn. Remember in this technical position if the MKT is going higher it should just go. If not there is the potential for a corrective break or digestive trading environment.
JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.
STRATEGY BASED TRADING Review http://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html
For more information please contact me at
info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

FOREX - EURJPY - NEUTRAL CORRECTION

FOREX - EURJPY ** NEUTRAL CORRECTION **

Technically the MKT is in a NEUTRAL CORRECTIVE state producing a big negative signal against a positive trend. Opportunity exists on both sides of the MKT however the negative signal must be respected below the 13219 Inflection Pivot.

On the SELL side avoid FADE strategies against the 13219 pivotal resistance until after the previous session low point or major support level has been broken to confirm a negative shift in momentum. REVERSAL strategies here should be avoided as any positive breach is more likely an indication that the underlying positive trend is going to resume. SELL BREAKOUT strategies under the 13119 support can be profitable but they are aggressive and should look to take profits and potentially REVERSE long at support targets. The trade is counter trend so avoid any negative commitments.

On the BUY side accept BREAKOUT, FADE and REVERSAL strategies off major inflection points with the expectation that the positive momentum is going to resume. REVERSAL strategies are recommended over a FADE strategies at the 13119 support, which should have at least 1 if not 2 challenges before executing a long off it. BREAKOUT strategies above 13219 can risk a little more if current events and other MKTs of confluence confirm a positive posture. If not a better approach would be to FADE a negative "squeeze" reaction after a positive breakout signal as the neutral technical position can keep the trend sideways.

Note: The MKT has produced a big technical signal against the current trend. Be aware that the negative action may be a 1-day event with the positive trend quickly re-establishing itself. If the MKT is really going to turn it should remain hard pressed and provide little or no relief.


JS


This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.




For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.

Monday, January 4, 2010

FOREX - EURUSD - BEAR TREND CORRECTION


FOREX EURUSD - BEAR TREND CORRECTION

Technically the MKT is in a BEAR TREND CORRECTION and has yet to confirm a break in momentum. Positive corrective action today will need some support if it is going to have much staying power, as the negative momentum remains a threat.

Key off the 14373 Inflection Pivot for the session bias.

On the SELL side accept REVERSAL and BREAKOUT strategies. Downside BREAKOUT strategies below 14373 should just "go" with expectations that the negative momentum is going to resume course targeting 14257. If there is more than one pullback after a downside breakout it is more likely that the corrective rally is about to resume. FADE strategies against the 14489 resistance pivot should wait for confirmation as the MKT is correcting and has the potential to be "stop and go" as it probes higher. Keep profit targets tight. A better strategy is a REVERSAL strategy, as a violation of a major inflection point that cannot be held is a negative turning point signal with the potential to be the resumption of the negative trend.

On the BUY side REVERSAL strategies off the 14373 Inflection Pivot will work best with the expectations targeting a new corrective high. Avoid BREAKOUT strategies above 14489 but rather FADE negative reactions off structure after a positive signal. If the corrective trade is going to continue targeting 14593, it should hold structure and maintain a trade above 14373. Once it doesn't its time to roll the other direction.

Note: Although the MKT is in a BEAR TREND the current CORRECTION has the potential to be the start of a positive turn. Don't get stuck in sell strength mode looking to "pick a top" against a structured rise. Rather go with it or wait for the momentum to be broken to jump on the BEAR TREND.

JS

This post supports the Strategy Based Trading, which is a methodology that focuses on the applied strategy verses a specific market. The approach looks to align strategies with markets whose current technical behavior matches the strategies criteria. Please review the following CME sponsored tutorial for a complete overview of this approach.

STRATEGY BASED TRADING Reviewhttp://progressive.powerstream.net/008/00102/edu/interactive/js_services/strategy_based_trading/index.html

For more information please contact me at info@jsservices.com. You can also visit http://www.jsservices.com/.The Inflection Pivot levels are available as a chart overlay on the following platforms; Ninja trader, Strategy Runner and eSignal. Sign up for a Complimentary FREE Trial.